If what the Country Land and Business Association is saying is correct then the Tories are in trouble. They have found that the Tories have lost much of their lead with rural and semi-rural voters both those who traditionally voted Tory and those who voted Tory for the first time in December 2019. The gains appear to be in Labour’s favour at the moment but it is also possible that voters who chose the Tories last time might not jump directly to Labour but instead just abstain on the grounds that the Tories are shite but the Labour Party are even worse. It’s a default good poll result for Labour rather than anything that Sir Keir ‘Cervix’ Starmer has managed to achieve.
It will be very interesting to see how the Tory vote holds up at the upcoming local elections. If they’ve lost the rural areas and the small towns, areas that they’ve done well in in the past, then they could be in big electoral trouble. If the Tories end up being seen by voters outside of the big cities as not looking after their interests or being more concerned with gender identity bullshit and the lunatic obsessions of wealthy big city Greens, then there’s no real reason for those who’ve traditionally voted Tory in the past to vote for them in the locals. After all why vote for a party that will tax you out of your meagre wages to pay for an increasingly wasteful public sector when you live in areas where there are few public services worthy of the name. Also people in these areas voted Tory because they wanted to conserve what’s best of the nation, to preserve culture, to make a country worthy of its families, to run the economy efficiently and to defend the realm. If the Tories are doing none of this in the eyes of rural and small town voters then there isn’t much of an incentive to vote Conservative apart from the fact that they are not Labour.
The local elections will come at a time when people are just coming to grips with the self inflicted wound that is Britain’s lack of a sensible energy policy. If that is at the top of voters minds when they cast their ballot then I’d be very surprised if such voters choose to put their cross in the Tory box.
I think your predication of a blood bath is probably very likely to happen. Everywhere I look I see the unmistakable results of their arrogant misrule. Sleaze, tax rises, drugs, bullying, law changes to save MPs caught on the take, broken manifesto promises, an unbelievable cost of living crisis, the horrors just keep on coming. I resigned from their party in total disgust and honestly find this next of vipers in no way can be called Conservatives.
I believe that the expectation by the Tories and by various commentators that the Tories face a major challenge in May might be behind Johnson’s decision to court the female vote by stating that biology matters.
Oh yes, I’m suddenly going to start voting Tory because that nice Mr Johnson has told me that I am going to be spared from the rare occurance of a transwoman appearing in a women’s changing room or bathroom. Clue, transwomen have been around for years and no one bothered until it became such a politically charged issue.