A lot of people were shocked to see just how far the Tories had fallen in the polls following the leadership shenanigans in the party. The Tories dropped into the low twenty per cent zone in the British Electoral Politics survey and Labour soared ahead an looked like they would win a General Election if it were held today.
But things appear to be changing . Labour have dropped back again and the Tories have clawed back some support. This is in my view partly due to things settling down under a new Tory leader and new Prime Minister. Here’s the current poll results from the British Electoral Politics Survey as publicised by the commentator Patrick O’Flynn.
The results now look better for the Tories but not so good for Labour, at least for the present. However we haven’t hit the depths of winter yet and neither have a sufficient critical mass of people been hit by the inflation bomb that is causing immense problems across Western nations and which has its roots in the West’s lunatic green ideology, a decision to move industrial work to the Far East, more than a decade of poor fiscal management and the aftermath of Western governments deciding to put their economies on hold for two years. Weimar style money printing which has been going on to various degrees since 2008 have also not helped things. People in Britain have also not yet been hit by the forthcoming tax rises which loom on the horizon and which might hurt the Tories as they are the party that has raised taxes.
When things get really bad, as well they might, Labour might find themselves on the up and the Tories on the way down again. But one important thing to remember is that there are two years to go until the next General Election and if a week is a long time in politics then almost anything could happen in two years. Rishi Sunak should enjoy his new leader honeymoon period as it might not be that long before the public start to aim their anger at him and his party and start to think that Labour, who don’t seem to know what a woman is let alone how to create policies that will help Britain out of its fiscal hole, despite all their faults is starting to look like a potential party of government.
Polls go up and polls go down. The big test for the Big Two parliamentary parties will come next May during the local elections. We will see then if the current rise in Tory voting intentions is real and lasting or just a short term effect of having a new leader.
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Do we still believe in democracy at all in the UK? Defined as a voting system wherby we elect MPs for parlimentary seats, and there is also a system where we elect local councillors along party lines, but not always. Facism is defined partially where we scrap democratic voting processes and take on an alternative non-elected leader and government.
I’m with Churchill on the subject of democracy who I believe said something on the lines of democracy bad but there are other systems that are much much worse. I believe in democracy it’s just a shame that so many of our parliamentarians don’t seem to be too keen on it. I do think that we hvae a democratic deficit in that there is not enough people taking the electoral process seriously both locally and nationally. We are also cursed with a situation where politicians say the right words to get elected on matters such as migration, energy policy, the economy and cultural issues but do something completely different once elected. That causes cynicism and a withdrawal by ordinary people from the electoral process.
I’m coming around to the idea that maybe the Swiss have got things more right than we have. They have an extremely active participatory democracy and regular referendums about major issues. I can’t help but wonder what would happen if we imported some or more aspects of the Swiss system into the UK?
Your statement that things might change is correct. We shall see how they change if (when) the triple lock manifesto promise is again broken, when the real impact of fuel inflation is experienced, when the lights go out this winter, when the eye watering tax rises come. All on the back of 12 years of Tory government. 3 Prime Ministers and a new king in 50 days, if it was in a comedy it would be rated as too silly to be funny. As a resigned Tory party member I am ashamed to say I ever supported them. I think at the next election the question in the voters mind might just be, how can Labour be any worse?
I think that Labour can be worse but the time has passed when people can vote Tory in good conscience merely in order to keep Labour out. I’m very pleased to see the rise in non-racialist civic nationalist parties like the SDP and Reform and it might well be the case that these might be future vehicles for the ignored moderates and civic nationalists to influence how we are governed and influence it for the better.